The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb http://www.amazon.com/dp/081297381X/ref=cm_sw_r_pi_dp_ZrLbub1PG039K
Black swans exist. I love the "Black Swan" theory that discusses how the psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs. It further explains the disproportionate role of high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations.
What is the Black Swan? The Black Swan logic makes what you don’t know more pertinent than what you do know. Elegant, surprising, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world as it accentuates almost everything about it, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: it is unpredictable, it carries a massive impact, and it seems explainable after the…
Black swan lace long sleeve top size small Black Swan ivory lace long sleeve top size small pre-loved and only used twice in great condition this is so cute and perfect for the cold season ahead please note the color is an ivory off white with tie dye ..it's really weird color to explain but it's super cute Black Swan Tops Blouses